Social vs. Behavioral Psychology: Which is a Better At Predicting of Consumer Behavior?

Bite-size: Social psychology and behavioral psychology both study human behavior, but they take different approaches to explain (or predict) behavioral patterns. The difference in analysis lies in what (or rather where) the main influence is coming from. Both fields recognize the interplay between internal states and external actions, but they differ mainly in their level of analysis.

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Social psychology and behavioral psychology focus on different aspects and employ distinct approaches when studying human behavior. Social psychology examines how internal attitudes, beliefs, and emotions drive behavior. It focuses on the cognitive and affective processes that precede—and sometimes fail to align with—our actions. In contrast, behavioral psychology starts with observable behavior and explains it through external influences such as conditioning, reinforcement, and environmental cues, treating actions as primary and often viewing attitudes as secondary or emerging from those behaviors.

Focusing on consumer attitudes is crucial for advertisers because deeply held beliefs and values not only drive immediate purchasing decisions but also foster long-term brand loyalty. For instance, Nike’s “Just Do It” campaign taps into underlying attitudes of empowerment and resilience, encouraging consumers to adopt an identity centered around overcoming challenges rather than merely reacting to a discount or promotion. Similarly, Apple’s advertising emphasizes innovation and creativity, aligning with consumers’ desire to be seen as forward-thinking and unique. These campaigns do more than trigger a momentary response—they shape the way consumers view themselves and the brands they support.

In contrast to a behavior-first approach—which might rely on short-term incentives or promotions (for example, a 20% discount for Nike Club members) to condition immediate responses—the attitude-first strategy focuses on engaging deeper, intrinsic motivations. While a behavior-first approach may successfully prompt a purchase through temporary discounts, it rarely builds an emotional connection or long-term loyalty. By crafting messages that resonate with core attitudes and values, advertisers not only influence behavior but also create enduring relationships that persist beyond the initial transaction, leading to a more sustainable competitive advantage in the marketplace.

The Halo Effect: Marketing’s Not-So Magic Trick

Bite-size: Our brains prefer efficiency over effort—rather than analyzing every attribute independently, we rely on existing impressions to guide our judgments. One heuristic you can use is ‘The Halo Effect.’ One domain (context of the ad) will spill over into the other (your brand or product) unconsciously and without objective assessment.

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You see a new commercial and while you don't recognize the brand, you like the dancing monkeys. You might not realize it but a positive association is being developed by brand you know nothing about. One domain (context of the ad) spills over into other domains (the new brand) unconsciously and without objective assessment. This is known as The Halo Effect— a mental shortcut where our brains use a single positive trait to fill in the blanks about other unrelated characteristics. 

Using celebrity endorsement is a popular choice—In 2024, more than 68% of Super Bowl commercials featured at least one celebrity (source). But using a celebrity can be risky and almost always is VERY very expensive. (IMO it’s a bit played out) Creating a brand personality is a more creative alternative that can be more effective and give you the marketer more control.

Coca-Cola has spent decades crafting an image associated with happiness, nostalgia, and togetherness through its marketing. But not all brands have the luxury of time or mountains of marketing dollars. A great recent example of the halo effect in action is Oatly, the Swedish oat milk brand that has rapidly gained popularity in the U.S. market by positioning itself as more than just a dairy alternative—it crafted a brand identity around being quirky, sustainable, and health-conscious. Its minimalist packaging, playful tone, and environmental messaging created a strong emotional appeal, making consumers associate the brand with being cool, progressive, and better for the planet.

The incumbent competitor in the space, Silk brand, stood no chance. Even with bigger budgets, celebrity endorsements, and an iconic ad rip-off of epic proportions (Goodby, Silverstein & Partners would like to have a word).  

A lesson in behavioral science, by President Trump: Part 2

Bite-size: Another hallmark of Trump’s communication style is repetition. He repeatedly asserts a claim or idea to build familiarity and reinforce belief. He does this to either, (A) create a sense of consensus and normalize his position, or (B) exploit the tendency for people to believe something is true because they’ve heard it multiple times.

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By repeatedly asserting a claim or idea (e.g., “Make America Great Again,” for example), President Trump reinforces this idea through “Repetition for Social Proof”. Repeated use and exposure to his position creates a sense of acceptance and accord, a tactic often seen in marketing to convince consumers of a brand or product’s popularity or reliability.

This also exploits the tendency for people to believe something is true simply because they’ve heard it multiple times. This is called the “Illusory Truth Effect.” By repeatedly stating false or exaggerated claims (even if the claim is debunked), the constant repetition leaves an impression and can subtly, unnoticeably alter perceptions, creating doubt about opposing views.

Brands use this effectively (and ethically) by:

  • Repeatedly reinforcing how many people are actively engaged (e.g., fitness apps and their users) to make people feel like they’re missing out on some global movement. Or…

  • Brands lean on familiar associations (e.g., beauty brands using influencers) to repeat subtle phrases of “effectiveness” and create a perception of legitimacy.

Over time, customers hear and see these numbers or phrases often enough to perceive the brand as credible and superior, even without hard proof.

A lesson in behavioral science, by President Trump: Part 1

Bite-size: You might be familiar with the “foot-in-the-door” phenomenon—a persuasive strategy used by sneaky salesmen—but have you heard of the “door-in-the-face” technique? Sounds painful doesn’t it? Well, it’ll surely leave a mark. Trump uses it to a capital T. And it’ll make you think differently about his plan to take over Greenland.

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You might be familiar with “Foot-in-the-Door” as a popular sales technique—it involves starting with a small request first to gain compliance, followed by a larger request. This technique builds commitment over time, but gradually escalates the request to something much bigger once people have shown initial support. A popular marketing example would be the free trial (e.g., Netflix, Spotify). Once the user becomes accustomed to the service and sees its value, they’re more likely to agree to a larger commitment (such as subscribing to a paid plan).


But what I’ve seen from Trump lately is using the “Door-in-the-Face” technique. This involves making an initial, large request that is likely to be rejected, followed by a smaller, more reasonable request. Trump often starts with extreme proposals (e.g., building a massive border wall, taking over Greenland) which attract attention and controversy. When scaled back or refined, the adjusted proposals seem more reasonable by comparison, increasing the likelihood of acceptance. A brand might use this by upselling with an initial higher-ticket item, followed by a lower-priced product. Luxury retailers and automakers do this SUPER well.

Lost in Translation: The Invisible Barrier of Knowing Too Much

Bite-size: Experts, listen up: not all of us understand what you’re saying. Yes, you can know something so well that you forget what it’s like not to know it. This is the Curse of Knowledge and it occurs when someone, who knows a piece of information, finds it difficult to imagine what it’s like for someone else not to know it. This plagues LinkedIn “thought-leaders” and marketers alike.

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The Curse of Knowledge happens because once we acquire knowledge, we lose the ability to "unlearn" it or step into the shoes of someone who doesn’t have that same knowledge. This gap in perspective makes it hard to communicate clearly with people who don’t share the same expertise.

This phenomenon is relevant in fields like marketing and communications when marketers overestimate how well their customers understand what they’re saying. Keeping things simple helps, but who’s to say what’s clear to you is easy for your audience? Also why testing is so important. But what about when trying to craft an elusive messaging or communicating with a diverse audience? One sneak way to overcome it? Instead of framing a message rationally or using technical terms, try appealing to the feeling of your message. What’s the emotion you're trying to elicit? That will be much more relatable, and impactful but also translatable.

Default is believing

Bite-size: Do you know that when we see, read, or hear something we assume it is true by default? We do this to save mental effort.

This cognitive bias is called the Truth-Default Theory and it’s important for marketers to understand when crafting their messages, especially in this age of misinformation and distrust.

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One reason why misinformation takes hold in the first place is because of the Truth-Default Theory. The belief is that humans are psychologically predisposed to assume truth. From an evolutionary perspective, this makes sense: constant skepticism would be exhausting and impractical so assuming truth allows us to function efficiently. While it enables smoother social interaction, it makes us vulnerable to deception. And with the burning of mistrust amid the swirl of misinformation, this is NOT good for marketing communication.

Sure some cues/triggers lead to doubt (e.g., inconsistencies, contradictions), but when the audience is in a truth-default state, more complex and misleading explanations are even less likely to evaluate the message critically. This can perpetuate misunderstandings or even misinformation.

This is a cognitive bias but the implications for communication (looking at you marketers) when crafting a message make sure to keep things clear and simple upfront (short term), while building trust and encouraging critical engagement (e.g., clear evidence, transparency) to evaluate your message which fosters a deeper connection.

You’re underestimating context, here’s why.

Bite-size: We often overestimate the character or personality of a person when making a judgment or evaluation, and instead ignore the very powerful influence of the context or situation we’re in.

This is called the Fundamental Attribution Error and it is the main argument for the importance of social psychology.

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You're at a coffee shop, and the barista gets your order wrong. You might think, "They're careless and not paying attention to their job". However, they might be dealing with a rush of orders, feeling stressed, or new to the job. You initially attributed the error to a personal trait but in reality, there are situational factors that are more likely to have caused the mistake.

This example reminds us how easily we can overlook external pressures in everyday interactions. But it’s also something that plagues client-agency teams.

Perhaps misattributing lower-than-expected sales from a campaign due to audience preference, when situational factors might be at play. Message misalignment or customer journey gaps are two obvious ones, but it could also be (something that gets in the way of purchase), or less obvious factors like 

You launch a high-budget campaign for a luxury watch brand—it features stunning visuals, celebrity endorsements, and a focus on exclusivity—but the brand sees little uplift in sales. People within the agency might conclude, "Consumers just don’t care about luxury watches anymore" (attributing the poor performance to a lack of interest or changing tastes). But what’s likely to be the case can be attributed to situational factors. Examples: message misalignment, customer journey gaps, over-saturated message or fatigue, or it was just a timing issue. 

Not all attitudes are created equal

Bite-size: Marketing is about changing attitudes, but some attitudes are more difficult to change than others. Preferences toward a brand, for example, are flexible (e.g., positive or negative associations), but attitudes formed along moral lines are much more rigid (e.g., a matter of right vs. wrong).

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When we think about attitudes it’s usually simplified as likes and dislikes. Preferences, like positive/negative associations made during experiences and formed as memories are flexible and often what marketing is targeting. But social norms—opinions from friends and family, or rules we follow as a society—also inform our attitudes. These social conventions can be a bit more difficult to affect. Moral convictions, however, are uncompromising. 

Compared to other constructs, attitudes that reflect moral beliefs are seen as “objectively and universally true,” and, “inherently more motivating and self-justifying” than non-moral attitudes. This makes people with moral conviction steadfast and inflexible in their belief, with no actual proof required (think staunch vaccine disbelievers when presented with scientific evidence).

The Moral Foundations Theory says that not only are moral convictions are seen as strong, morally rooted attitudes, but they are equally strong in moral investment. Findings from research make a connection to emotional responses as well. Those with moral convictions tend to be more intolerant of change and more defensive in their position. 

Marketers can overcome this using: moral reframing. By framing a position in a way that appeals to someone's moral values, even if they would not normally support it, is a well-supported scientific technique for effective and persuasive communication. Example: A person who is negative towards vaccines because they believe the mandates violate their personal liberty and freedom. They are not persuaded by scientific evidence alone. So, by re-framing a pro-vaccine message around ‘liberty’ the message challenges the attitude by appealing to the underlying belief: our freedoms must be protected, and COVID-19 is the enemy.

Scarcity Bias: How differences in supply can motivate them to buy.

Bite-size: The harder it is to get something the more valuable it becomes. That is the scarcity bias.

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Scarcity is a foundational principle of economics. When things are in limited supply, they're perceived to be more valuable than an equivalent item that's more abundant. Think if scarcity as a supply and demand problem is created in two ways: supply-induced scarcity, or demand-induced scarcity. It's also a powerful psychological tool marketers have the power to create without disrupting business economics. Because scarcity also creates hype. It could be creating "limited edition" versions of a product, or even making the product harder to get ("limited time to buy"). 

Another powerful force that's operating here is loss aversion: a cognitive bias causes us to feel losses more powerfully than gains (the pain of loss is twice as intensive as the equivalent pleasure of gain). As a result of this, individuals tend to try to avoid losses in whatever way possible.